Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?
Current Posts
39
excl. replies
Predicted Total
326
12% confidence BURST
Daily Rate
45.9
posts/day
Hourly Rate
1.93
posts/hour
Today
31
Rhythm: 2.93x ACTIVE
Predicted Range: 320-339 posts
Model: 8.6% · Market: 7.5%
Market Distribution (30 ranges)
| Range | Market | Model | Edge | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-39 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $2,595,945 |
| 40-59 | 0.1% | 0.1%(0.1) | +0.1% | $68,667 |
| 60-79 | 0.1% | 0.2%(0.2) | +0.1% | $58,577 |
| 80-99 | 0.1% | 0.3%(0.4) | +0.3% | $91,764 |
| 100-119 | 0.1% | 0.6%(0.6) | +0.5% | $51,327 |
| 120-139 | 0.1% | 0.9%(1.0) | +0.8% | $57,845 |
| 140-159 | 0.2% | 1.4%(1.6) | +1.2% | $65,136 |
| 160-179 | 0.6% | 2.1%(2.3) | +1.5% | $58,745 |
| 180-199 | 1.2% | 2.9%(3.2) | +1.7% | $36,470 |
| 200-219 | 6.5% | 3.9%(4.2) | -2.6% | $36,018 |
| 220-239 | 13.5% | 5.0%(5.3) | -8.5% | $54,369 |
| 240-259 | 17.5% | 6.2%(6.4) | -11.3% | $43,615 |
| 260-279 | 16.5% | 7.2%(7.4) | -9.3% | $46,600 |
| 280-299 | 15.0% | 8.0%(8.2) | -7.0% | $36,832 |
| 300-319 | 12.5% | 8.5%(8.6) | -4.0% | $32,900 |
| 320-339 | 7.5% | 8.6%(8.6) | +1.1% | $24,884 |
| 340-359 | 5.1% | 8.3%(8.2) | +3.2% | $27,040 |
| 360-379 | 3.0% | 7.7%(7.5) | +4.7% | $27,682 |
| 380-399 | 2.6% | 6.8%(6.5) | +4.1% | $32,250 |
| 400-419 | 2.1% | 5.7%(5.4) | +3.7% | $24,824 |
| 420-439 | 1.2% | 4.6%(4.3) | +3.3% | $27,542 |
| 440-459 | 0.8% | 3.5%(3.3) | +2.8% | $21,822 |
| 460-479 | 0.4% | 2.6%(2.4) | +2.1% | $20,929 |
| 480-499 | 0.4% | 1.8%(1.6) | +1.4% | $19,316 |
| 500-519 | 0.4% | 1.2%(1.1) | +0.8% | $28,930 |
| 520-539 | 0.2% | 0.8%(0.7) | +0.5% | $27,345 |
| 540-559 | 0.2% | 0.5%(0.4) | +0.3% | $31,879 |
| 560-579 | 0.1% | 0.3%(0.2) | +0.2% | $45,986 |
| 580+ | 0.1% | 0.3%(0.2) | +0.1% | $88,601 |
| <20 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $377,543 |
Progress
12.1% / 80.0%
Coverage
0%
Bundle Cost
$0
EV
0%
Ranges
0 / 0
Blocked: progress=12%<80%
Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?
Current Posts
77
excl. replies
Predicted Total
85
93% confidence BURST SHORT
Daily Rate
41.6
posts/day
Hourly Rate
1.76
posts/hour
Today
31
Rhythm: 2.93x ACTIVE
Predicted Range: 65-89 posts
Model: 68.8% · Market: 80.5%
Market Distribution (10 ranges)
| Range | Market | Model | Edge | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 80.5% | 68.8% | -11.7% | $203,538 |
| 90-114 | 19.4% | 31.2% | +11.8% | $254,051 |
| 115-139 | 0.4% | 0.0% | -0.4% | $225,595 |
| 140-164 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $168,337 |
| 165-189 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $156,252 |
| 190-214 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $83,014 |
| 215-239 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $52,244 |
| 240+ | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $65,506 |
| <40 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $339,004 |
| 40-64 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $386,022 |
Progress
92.5% / 50.0%
Coverage
0%
Bundle Cost
$0
EV
0%
Ranges
0 / 0
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Current Posts
179
excl. replies
Predicted Total
266
69% confidence BURST
Daily Rate
36.9
posts/day
Hourly Rate
1.66
posts/hour
Today
31
Rhythm: 2.93x ACTIVE
Predicted Range: 260-279 posts
Model: 22.5% · Market: 30.5%
Market Distribution (30 ranges)
| Range | Market | Model | Edge | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160-179 | 0.1% | 0.1%(0.0) | 0.0% | $396,218 |
| 180-199 | 0.1% | 2.3%(1.0) | +2.2% | $465,586 |
| 200-219 | 1.1% | 6.5%(3.4) | +5.5% | $346,547 |
| 220-239 | 9.3% | 13.5%(8.7) | +4.2% | $324,960 |
| 240-259 | 36.1% | 20.4%(16.1) | -15.7% | $308,884 |
| 260-279 | 30.5% | 22.5%(21.8) | -8.0% | $258,404 |
| 280-299 | 15.5% | 18.0%(21.5) | +2.5% | $211,913 |
| 300-319 | 5.2% | 10.5%(15.4) | +5.3% | $183,334 |
| 320-339 | 2.5% | 4.5%(8.0) | +1.9% | $177,271 |
| 340-359 | 0.4% | 1.4%(3.0) | +0.9% | $154,234 |
| 360-379 | 0.4% | 0.3%(0.8) | -0.0% | $152,544 |
| 380-399 | 0.1% | 0.1%(0.2) | -0.1% | $204,562 |
| 400-419 | 0.1% | 0.0%(0.0) | -0.1% | $258,785 |
| 420-439 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $284,916 |
| 440-459 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $216,880 |
| 460-479 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $215,095 |
| 480-499 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $179,282 |
| 500-519 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $154,983 |
| 520-539 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $123,686 |
| 540-559 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.0% | $136,030 |
| 560-579 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $108,922 |
| 580+ | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | $126,664 |
| <20 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $128,980 |
| 20-39 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $5,041,855 |
| 40-59 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $1,499,206 |
| 60-79 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $186,779 |
| 80-99 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $2,491,758 |
| 100-119 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $332,851 |
| 120-139 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $319,892 |
| 140-159 SETTLED | LOST | - | - | $407,849 |
Progress
69.3% / 80.0%
Coverage
0%
Bundle Cost
$0
EV
0%
Ranges
0 / 0
Blocked: progress=69%<80%
Open Positions
Last 24h Post Activity (excl. replies)
Recent Posts
@elonmusk (10 latest)Main feed posts, quotes & reposts only. Replies excluded.
Crazy
2026-04-01T12:24:05
RT @TRobinsonNewEra: Young Irish teacher Enoch Burke has now spent over 600 days in prison for refusing to use gender bending ideology forโฆ
2026-04-01T12:22:57
Grok Imagine makes it easy and fast to create fun videos! Young kids especially love doing image & video generation using voice mode (press the speak button). And you can turn on kid safe mode in settings: https://t.co/z5NPAAjjaA
2026-04-01T12:22:08
RT @MarioNawfal: Open a new door of Imagination. Grok Imagine builds the world around you. Still staring at the door? Thought so. Step inโฆ
2026-04-01T12:17:50
True
2026-04-01T12:09:55
RT @garrytan: Sheryl Davis, SF's former civil rights watchdog, just got arrested. 19 felony counts. $8.5M steered to her live-in partner'sโฆ
2026-04-01T12:09:19
Suicidal empathy
2026-04-01T12:08:51
RT @JessePeltan: Fusion is 30 years away ๐ซ Fusion is 8 minutes away โ โ๏ธ https://t.co/dnhEkxzcBX
2026-04-01T11:55:08
RT @XFreeze: xAI's Grok Voice Agent API is insanely good.. You get a voice agent that sounds completely human and handles your always-actiโฆ
2026-04-01T10:53:23
If you want to know whatโs really safe or whatโs not, just try buying insurance for it
2026-04-01T10:53:04
Strategy
How it works:
- Monitor Elon's real-time posting rhythm via XTracker
- Predict final tweet count based on current rate + time remaining
- Compare Model probability vs Market price for each range
- Auto-trade when edge is large enough, with risk guards and position sizing
Core idea: Markets react slowly to real-time behavior changes. We capture the gap between what's happening now and what the market assumes.
Order Types
Glossary
Rate Quality
Indicates how confident the model is about the current posting rate. Higher confidence โ lower edge threshold.